基本信息·出版社:Plume Books ·页码:384 页 ·出版日期:2007年08月 ·ISBN:0452288665 ·条形码:9780452288669 ·装帧:平装 ·正文语种:英语 · ...
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The Extreme Future: The Top Trends That Will Reshape the World in the Next 20 Ye |
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The Extreme Future: The Top Trends That Will Reshape the World in the Next 20 Ye |
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基本信息·出版社:Plume Books
·页码:384 页
·出版日期:2007年08月
·ISBN:0452288665
·条形码:9780452288669
·装帧:平装
·正文语种:英语
·外文书名:超限未来10大趋势
内容简介 A renowned global futurist prepares businesses and individuals for the radical changes on the horizon An advisor to three presidents spanning over thirty years, Dr. James Canton identifies probable outcomes and future trends in business, technology, environment, terrorism, population, and medicine to help companies and individuals prepare for the coming complex and volatile global changes, including:
How climate change and energy trends will reshape the planet
How astounding medicine trends will enhance peoples lives
How the rise of China will bring on a new global power struggle
In the tradition of
Future Shock, Megatrends, and
The Tipping Point, Extreme Future is the essential forecasting handbook for navigating the twenty-first century.
作者简介 JAMES CANTON, Ph.D., is chairman and CEO of the Institute for Global Futures, an internationally recognized San Franciscobased think tank that advises Fortune 1000 and government clients. He has served on advisory boards at MITs Media Lab and Motorola, and is a fellow at the Knowledge and Innovation Network at the Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University.
编辑推荐 From Publishers Weekly Canton's background in future-planning consultancy began when he studied under Alvin Toffler in the 1970s—and it shows in this big-picture take on the world of tomorrow. Taken individually, none of the trends Canton believes will shape the upcoming decades are surprising: major crises brought on by energy shortages and climate change; economic transformation wrought by globalization; and the "war on terror" has barely started. But he recognizes that the future is created by a "convergence" in which these developments interact. Canton's imagination runs in a dozen directions at once, peppering the margins of his vision with media headlines and short vignettes from a science-fictional future. Some of these are more believable than others—hydrogen-based energy systems by 2040, sure, but drugs that will keep us from even thinking antigovernment thoughts? Canton's goal, however, isn't predicting, it's convincing Americans to take a more active role in envisioning and safeguarding the 21st century before somebody else does. His lively scenarios are designed to spark debates, and they surely will.
(Sept.) Copyright © Reed Business Information, a division of Reed Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
--This text refers to the Hardcover edition. From Booklist Canton, global futurist and business advisor, offers a forecasting road map for the twenty-first century that includes 10 top trends of the extreme future. These trends are the critical role of energy; information technology and networks; biotechnology; the manipulation of matter at the atomic scale (producing new drugs, fuels, materials, and machines); and the use of devices, drugs, and materials to heal and enhance mental performance. Other trends are the emerging workforce, which will be more multicultural, female, and Hispanic; longer and healthier lives; the critical importance of science; major threats, including hackers, terrorists, and mind control; and the new realities of global trade and competition. Finally, he cites preparation for increased global warming, the struggle for human rights and individual freedom, and the consequences of future interaction between America and China. Canton is optimistic about the future and believes Americans in general are, too. He observes, "They inspire change and innovation, creating a vision that suggests what is coming next will be good." Important and fascinating perspective!
Mary WhaleyCopyright © American Library Association. All rights reserved --This text refers to the Hardcover edition. Review Cantons intelligence, wit, and passion readily found in the numerous talks he gives worldwide comes through in his prose. --
Barbara A. Propes, President, World Affairs Councils of AmericaDr. Canton's account of the future of healthcare is chilling ... because his predictions are fast becoming fact. --
Terry Fassburg, Vice President of Brand Communications, Philips ElectronicsIf you care about the futureand who can afford not to?this book is for you. --
Patricia Aburdene, author of Megatrends 2010: The Rise of Conscious Capitalism and co-author of Megatrends 2000If you want to prepare for the Extreme Future, read this book. --
Rudy Burger, CEO& Chairman, US Development PartnersThis book is your essential guidebook to the future. --
Toby Redshaw, Corporate Vice President, I.D.E.A.S., Motorola --This text refers to the Hardcover edition. Review [An] insightful, straightforward, and clear view into the amazing and surprising future.
Toby Redshaw, corporate vice president, I.D.E.A.S., Motorola
Cantons optimistic prescription for a successful global future comes as a refreshing change from the often dismal reports alive in the world.
Barbara A. Propes, president, World Affairs Councils of America