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The Sale of a Lifetime: How the Great Bubble Burst of 2017-2019 Can Make You Rich | |||
The Sale of a Lifetime: How the Great Bubble Burst of 2017-2019 Can Make You Rich |
Harry S. Dent, Jr., is the bestselling author of The Demographic Cliff, The Great Depression Ahead, and many other books. He is the founder of Dent Research, which publishes the newsletters Economy & Markets, Boom & Bust, and The Leading Edge, among many others. He has an MBA from Harvard, was a consultant for several Fortune 100 companies while at Bain & Company, and lectures widely. He lives in San Juan, Puerto Rico.
网友对The Sale of a Lifetime: How the Great Bubble Burst of 2017-2019 Can Make You Rich的评论
I have read most of Dent's books and enjoyed them. This is his weakest by far. I had high hopes, but was left vey disappointed.
Dent made his name on demographics and his spending cycle, which are good tools for directionality but fail to match actual events. He tried to cover this by adding more cycles which stretches reality too far. I have a real problem with his supposed geopolitical cycle and his argument in the book is very poorly done. He has multiple pages of current negative events, but blows off the period of 1983 to 2000 by saying nothing bad happened; ignoring Beirut, Chernobyl, Columbine, Iraq invasion, Tinammen Square, etc. His innovation cycle is supported by some slight of hand that just shows the weakness of the basic argument. All he seems to have left is the sun spot cycle, with such a large time variation to negate its value and no real reason for it to have any effect. His long term cycles are even less credible.
A recession is likely coming, but this book doesn't really present anything new for discussion. I expected so much more.
Fascinating read but harry Dent spent 300+ pages defending his prediction and about 5 pages an action plan if he's correct. I'm glad it wasn't released to public until Jan. 2017 because for those who might have taken his advice in late 2016 would have missed out on the Q4 run up in the market after the election. I have read at least 2 of his earlier books and while I do believe there will be a correction in the market coming, it proves that no one, not even Harry Dent, can predict the future with certainty. Still an entertaining read though.
Too statistical oriented
Repeats identical situation multiple times.
Tends to focus on negative issues--without exploring the positive opportunities.
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