Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder (Incerto)

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		Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder (Incerto)
		Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder (Incerto)

Antifragile is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, and The Bed of Procrustes.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the bestselling author of The Black Swan and one of the foremost thinkers of our time, reveals how to thrive in an uncertain world.
 
Just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension, and rumors or riots intensify when someone tries to repress them, many things in life benefit from stress, disorder, volatility, and turmoil. What Taleb has identified and calls “antifragile” is that category of things that not only gain from chaos but need it in order to survive and flourish. 
 
In The Black Swan, Taleb showed us that highly improbable and unpredictable events underlie almost everything about our world. In Antifragile, Taleb stands uncertainty on its head, making it desirable, even necessary, and proposes that things be built in an antifragile manner. The antifragile is beyond the resilient or robust. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better and better.
 
Furthermore, the antifragile is immune to prediction errors and protected from adverse events. Why is the city-state better than the nation-state, why is debt bad for you, and why is what we call “efficient” not efficient at all? Why do government responses and social policies protect the strong and hurt the weak? Why should you write your resignation letter before even starting on the job? How did the sinking of the Titanic save lives? The book spans innovation by trial and error, life decisions, politics, urban planning, war, personal finance, economic systems, and medicine. And throughout, in addition to the street wisdom of Fat Tony of Brooklyn, the voices and recipes of ancient wisdom, from Roman, Greek, Semitic, and medieval sources, are loud and clear.
 
Antifragile is a blueprint for living in a Black Swan world.
 
Erudite, witty, and iconoclastic, Taleb’s message is revolutionary: The antifragile, and only the antifragile, will make it.

Praise for Antifragile
 
“Ambitious and thought-provoking . . . highly entertaining.”—The Economist
 
“A bold book explaining how and why we should embrace uncertainty, randomness, and error . . . It may just change our lives.”—Newsweek
 
“Revelatory . . . [Taleb] pulls the reader along with the logic of a Socrates.”—Chicago Tribune
 
“Startling . . . richly crammed with insights, stories, fine phrases and intriguing asides . . . I will have to read it again. And again.”—Matt Ridley, The Wall Street Journal
 
“Trenchant and persuasive . . . Taleb’s insatiable polymathic curiosity knows no bounds. . . . You finish the book feeling braver and uplifted.”—New Statesman
 
“Antifragility isn’t just sound economic and political doctrine. It’s also the key to a good life.”—Fortune
 
“At once thought-provoking and brilliant.”—Los Angeles Times


From the Hardcover edition.

网友对Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder (Incerto)的评论

内容方面：
全书的中心思想是，所有的事物都从变动中获益或者受损。反脆弱是从变化和风险中获益。在我看来，作者试图构筑出一个脆弱／反脆弱的理论系统，然后用这个系统来解释各个领域的不同现象，进一步验证他的观点。
这个观点和一些执行方法很有意思的，给了我不少启发，比如：
断一件事物是脆弱的远远比弄清楚什么能伤害到这个脆弱的事物容易。脆弱性是可以测量的，而风险是不可测量的。他不建议去预测可能导致伤害的事件，而是关注使事物本身变得不那么脆弱；
trial and error 方法以小错误为代价来避免系统崩溃；
杠铃策略，避免中间选项；
……
但是我不认为作者笔下的脆弱／反脆弱是一个完整的理论体系。书中有些部分似乎陷入循环论证：一个人没有某种行为，就是反脆弱状态了。为什么这人反脆弱呢，因为他没有某种行为。听起来非常有道理，每一条推理都是逻辑上成立的但其实是循环论证。我没有看到作者以一个独立的测量方式来测量一个人／机构是不是反脆弱。然后在另外的独立测试上表现出反脆弱预测的行为。我也并不完全赞同作者所有的结论。不过看看他的观点还是挺有意思的。

阅读感受方面：
阅读不易。作者在一开始就丢出了大量自创的概念，看得我云里雾里。文字风格也不是平易近人系的，以至于我一度想放弃，虽然后来坚持读完了这本书，也是花"rest":"了相当长的时间－－当然这一点只是个人感受，也许只是因为我英语阅读水平不够之故。<br />此外，个人感觉书中经常充满了激情和。。。些许戾气。我个人不是很喜欢这种风格，这纯属个人感受，仅供参考。"

我看过本书作者Taleb的前一本书，黑天鹅，那本书读起来挺有意思，也有些有趣的见解，周末没事翻翻还不错。在这本书里作者变得更偏激了，已经有点太过了，作者也显得对自己所说的一切太过自信了。从头到尾看过本书，你就会发现作者大力批判的东西自己全都不自觉得深陷其中，举个例子:作者大力排斥法国式的各种空谈理论和夸夸其谈的倾向、力挺英美式的实践主义、经验主义，但自己就首先为之构造了一大堆理论，还为它们自创了众多的术语，antifrigile就是第一个，作者开篇就花费了许多笔墨定义这个词在他的个人“词典”里的意思。套用作者书中的复杂观点来向你们这么解释吧：我浪费了150块钱买下这本书，我作为一个倒霉的“前人”，在这里写下这些文字，记录下我用150块买来的惨痛经验，于是后人以我的牺牲为代价，知道了这本书有多烂，从而获得了对这本破书的antifrigile，因此他们可以避免买这本书了，而我则成了一个历史上没人会感谢的无名英雄。我说的，你都懂了吗？

企鹅出版社的塔勒布系列平装封面画很有趣味。
我不收藏书，但见到企鹅塔勒布一定要有。已有：彪马、黑天鹅、猫头鹰，但这一集的封面风格和前三作不成套。
Antifragile，是 彪马和黑天鹅的收官之作。你值得拥有。

第一本外文原版书 质地不错 还没开始读 抱着学习经管和英语的想法 作家名气很大 相信值得慢慢看

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