Irrational Exuberance [平装]

希勒先生像是一位洞悉华尔街的先知。他认为投资者们正在被冲动、以众行为、席间闲谈、直觉、新闻媒体，以及不甘人后等各种非理性因素所左右。他的理论为不断蔓延的对股票市场的不安提供了及时而合理的解释。
——《纽约时报》
（这本书讲述的是）现代的、经典的、严肃的经济学理率。即使你不是这个领域的专家，也可以从中获得乐趣。

作者简介

作者：（美国）罗伯特·J·希勒

罗勃．席勒（Robert J. Shiller） ，耶鲁大学经济系教授。他着有《市场起伏及总体市场》（Market Volatility and Macro Markets），曾获 1996 年经济学萨缪森奖（Paul A. Samuelson）。

Robert J. Shiller is the Stanley B. Resor Professor of Economics at Yale University. He is the recipient of the 2000 Commonfund Prize, awarded for Best Contribution to Endowment Management Research, for Irrational Exuberance. He is also the author of Market Volatility and Macro Markets, which won the 1996 Paul A. Samuelson Award.

目录

List of Figures and Tables ix Preface xi Acknowledgments xix One The Stock Market Level in Historical Perspective 3 Part One Structural Factors TWO Precipitating Factors: The Internet, the Baby Boom, and Other Events 17 Three Amplification Mechanisms: Naturally Occurring Ponzi Processes 44 Part Two Cultural Factors Four The News Media 71 Five New Era Economic Thinking 96 Six New Eras and Bubbles around the World 118 Part Three Psychological Factors Seven Psychological Anchors for the Market 135 Eight Herd Behavior and Epidemics 148 Part Four Attempts to Rationalize Exuberance Nine Efficient Markets, Random Walks, and Bubbles 171 Ten Investor Learning-and Unlearning 191 Part Five A Call to Action Eleven Speculative Volatility in a Free Society 203 Notes 235 References 269 Index 283

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